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Climate Change and Policy
The Calculability of Climate Change and the Challenge of Uncertainty
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The uncertainty of predictability of climate effects is still a contentious issue in science and society. On the one hand decision-makers require certainty about future consequences of today s behaviour. On the other hand the complexity of the climate system, of human behaviour and global interactions defeats the desire for certainty. Although it has turned out that the world isn t predictable in a Laplaceian manner, advanced strategies of calculability have been developed to measuring and dealing with uncertainty. The contributions in this book give a first hand insight into climatologists strategies in dealing with uncertainty by using simulation models and into social, political and economical requirements in future prognoses on climate change. Do these strategies and requirements meet each other or fail?
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